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Tuesday, March 02, 2004  
A follow-up post on stats before we move on to more exciting topics.

I find the lack of statistics on blogging rather disappointing; after searching the net for around an hour the best estimates I could find were that there are anywhere from 2.4 (Blogcount Estimate in June 2003) to 4.12 million (Perseus in October 2003) blogs on the net, a discrepancy that begs the questions of error margin and speed of creation in the world of the internet. But there were some interesting numbers from the Perseus count (note: for their purposes, abandoned meant not updated in two months):

* 26% of blogs are abandoned upon creation
* 40% of blogs are abandoned after an average of 126 days
* the average blog updates every 14 days
* after abandonment, the likelihood of resuming is 1 in 200
* the number of hosted blogs will exceed 10 million by the end of 2004

Another interesting bit from December 2003:

The annual churn rate in 2002 for hosted blogs (excluding one-day wonders) was 47%. That is to say that 47% of the blogs that were at some point active in 2002 had their final post in 2002 (when checked in late September, 2003). Blogs are being abandoned at a faster rate than e-mail addresses, and where the average user has 3.1 e-mail addresses there is no indication that most users are replacing abandoned blogs with new ones.

However, as with most things technological, it's too soon to say that the blog phenomenon is about to die--especially if the estimate of over 10 million blogs created by the end of the year holds true. But I guess this means I can safely say I've outlasted a bare minimum of 50% of blogs, probably far more. The only one I personally know who has been blogging longer than me is Tait. (Yeah, yeah. Shut up.)


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